FC Bayern Munichvs
RB LeipzigFC Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Bayern Munich to win64%
1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 64%.
- FC Bayern Munich
- Draw
- RB Leipzig
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Bayern Munich or draw83%
- Draw or RB Leipzig36%
- FC Bayern Munich or RB Leipzig80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.571%
- Under 2.529%
Both teams to score
- FC Bayern Munich, last 10 home games7 of 10
- RB Leipzig, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 63.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- RB Leipzig's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
FC Bayern Munich: DWWWD
RB Leipzig: WLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 4.60Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | FC Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig | 3–1 |
| 2026-01-17 | RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–5 |
| 2025-08-22 | FC Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig | 6–0 |
| 2025-05-03 | RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern Munich | 3–3 |
| 2024-12-20 | FC Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig | 5–1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich | 2–2 |
| 2023-05-20 | Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig | 1–3 |
| 2023-01-20 | RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-05 | Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.60 goals per game.