Hamburger SVvs
VfB StuttgartHamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfB Stuttgart44%
- Hamburger SV 28%
- Draw 29%
- VfB Stuttgart 44%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 43.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. VfB Stuttgart's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Hamburger SV's 5 produced 19, at 3.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Hamburger SV: LWLDW
VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV | 4–0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.