Hamburger SVvs
VfB StuttgartHamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
VfB Stuttgart or draw68%
1X2: model backs VfB Stuttgart at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Hamburger SV
- Draw
- VfB Stuttgart
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Hamburger SV or draw55%
- Draw or VfB Stuttgart68%
- Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
- VfB Stuttgart, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 44.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
Hamburger SV: WWWLL
VfB Stuttgart: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV | 4–0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.