SV Werder Bremenvs
SC Paderborn 07SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
SV Werder Bremen or draw73%
1X2: model backs SV Werder Bremen at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- SV Werder Bremen
- Draw
- SC Paderborn 07
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SV Werder Bremen or draw73%
- Draw or SC Paderborn 0752%
- SV Werder Bremen or SC Paderborn 0775%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.542%
- Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
- SV Werder Bremen, last 10 home games6 of 10
- SC Paderborn 07, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick SV Werder Bremen, rating it at 48.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and SV Werder Bremen won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. SV Werder Bremen's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. SC Paderborn 07's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- SV Werder Bremen's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
SV Werder Bremen: DLWDW
SC Paderborn 07: LWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 | 2–2 |
| 2026-08-08 | SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
- Tofiko's model favours SV Werder Bremen (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.