1. FC Heidenheimvs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen62%
- 1. FC Heidenheim 18%
- Draw 20%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 62%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 62.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 4.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–3 |
| 2025-11-08 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 6–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 5–2 |
| 2024-02-17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-24 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 21 Mar 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.