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1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheimvs1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Heidenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 16 May 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 02 1.FSV Mainz 05

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0538%

1. FC Heidenheim 32%
Draw 30%
1.FSV Mainz 05 38%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 32%
  • Draw 30%
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05 38%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL

1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 17%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-161. FC Heidenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 050–2
2026-01-131.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Heidenheim2–1
2025-02-161. FC Heidenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 050–2
2024-09-281.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Heidenheim0–2
2024-05-051. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–1
2023-12-161.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Heidenheim 18460–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
Sat, 16 May 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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