1. FC Heidenheim 0-3 RB Leipzig — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig59%
- 1. FC Heidenheim 20%
- Draw 21%
- RB Leipzig 59%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 59.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. RB Leipzig's 5 produced 19, at 3.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
1. FC Heidenheim: WLLLW
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig | 0–3 |
| 2025-08-30 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 2–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 2–2 |
| 2024-10-06 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
| 2024-04-20 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs RB Leipzig | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-02 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.