1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC HeidenheimvsRB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

1. FC Heidenheim 0-3 RB Leipzig — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RB Leipzig59%

  • 1. FC Heidenheim 20%
  • Draw 21%
  • RB Leipzig 59%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 59.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. RB Leipzig's 5 produced 19, at 3.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

1. FC Heidenheim: WLLLW

RB Leipzig: WWLLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-241. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig0–3
2025-08-30RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Heidenheim2–0
2025-02-23RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Heidenheim2–2
2024-10-061. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig0–1
2024-04-201. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs RB Leipzig1–2
2023-12-02RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig?
Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig kick off?
Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

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