1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin42%
- 1. FC Heidenheim 33%
- Draw 25%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 41.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won 4 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. 1. FC Union Berlin's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL
1. FC Union Berlin: LLDLD
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.83Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-10 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 0–3 |
| 2025-01-11 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–0 |
| 2024-02-24 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-30 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.