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1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheimvs1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 31 1. FC Union Berlin

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin42%

1. FC Heidenheim 33%
Draw 25%
1. FC Union Berlin 42%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 33%
  • Draw 25%
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 42%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 41.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won 4 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. 1. FC Union Berlin's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL

1. FC Union Berlin: LLDLD

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 2.83Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-111. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin3–1
2025-11-291. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim1–2
2025-05-101. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim0–3
2025-01-111. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin2–0
2024-02-241. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–2
2023-09-301. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
Sat, 11 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.

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