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1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC HeidenheimvsVfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

1. FC Heidenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 22 Feb 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 33 VfB Stuttgart

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfB Stuttgart53%

1. FC Heidenheim 25%
Draw 22%
VfB Stuttgart 53%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 25%
  • Draw 22%
  • VfB Stuttgart 53%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 53.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL

VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-221. FC Heidenheim vs VfB Stuttgart3–3
2025-10-05VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim1–0
2025-04-25VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim0–1
2024-12-151. FC Heidenheim vs VfB Stuttgart1–3
2024-03-31VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Heidenheim 18463–3
2023-11-051. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs VfB Stuttgart2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
Sun, 22 Feb 2026 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

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