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1. FC Koln crest1. FC Kolnvs1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Koln vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 10 May 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: 1. FC Koln 13 1. FC Heidenheim

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Koln49%

1. FC Koln 49%
Draw 29%
1. FC Heidenheim 23%
  • 1. FC Koln 49%
  • Draw 29%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Koln, rating it at 48.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and 1. FC Koln won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1. FC Koln: DWLLD

1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.75Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-101. FC Koln vs 1. FC Heidenheim1–3
2026-01-101. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Koln2–2
2024-05-181. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs 1. FC Koln4–1
2024-01-131. FC Koln vs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Koln vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Koln (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Koln vs 1. FC Heidenheim kick off?
Sun, 10 May 2026 15:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1. FC Koln vs 1. FC Heidenheim head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.

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