1. FC Kolnvs
Borussia Dortmund1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaWed, 13 Jan 2027 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund62%
- 1. FC Koln 15%
- Draw 22%
- Borussia Dortmund 62%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 62.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Koln won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Koln's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Borussia Dortmund's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Koln: DWLLD
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln | 1–0 |
| 2024-01-20 | 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–4 |
| 2023-08-19 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln | 6–1 |
| 2022-10-01 | 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–2 |
| 2022-03-20 | 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2021-10-30 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln | 2–0 |
| 2021-03-20 | 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–2 |
| 2020-11-28 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Wed, 13 Jan 2027 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.