1. FC Koln crest1. FC KolnvsBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaTue, 12 Jan 2027 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Borussia Dortmund to win62%

1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 62%.

Tofiko15% / 22% / 62%
  • 1. FC Koln
  • Draw
  • Borussia Dortmund

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • 1. FC Koln or draw38%
  • Draw or Borussia Dortmund85%
  • 1. FC Koln or Borussia Dortmund78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.564%
  • Under 2.536%

Both teams to score

  • 1. FC Koln, last 10 home games10 of 10
  • Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 62.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Koln won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 91 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

1. FC Koln: WDLDL

Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 91 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.20Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-071. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund1–2
2025-10-25Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln1–0
2024-01-201. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund0–4
2023-08-19Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln1–0
2023-03-18Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln6–1
2022-10-011. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund3–2
2022-03-201. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund1–1
2021-10-30Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln2–0
2021-03-201. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund2–2
2020-11-28Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln1–2

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FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Tue, 12 Jan 2027 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBorussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln15 May 2027 →