1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union BerlinvsHamburger SV crestHamburger SV

1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin45%

Tofiko45% / 32% / 23%
  • 1. FC Union Berlin
  • Draw
  • Hamburger SV

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Hamburger SV's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW

Hamburger SV: WLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-14Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin3–2
2025-09-281. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV0–0

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FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV kick off?
Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureHamburger SV vs Union Berlin10 Apr 2027 →