1. FC Union Berlinvs
Hamburger SV1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin45%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 45%
- Draw 32%
- Hamburger SV 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 45.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Hamburger SV's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: DWLWD
Hamburger SV: LWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-28 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.