1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin45%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- Draw
- Hamburger SV
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Hamburger SV's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW
Hamburger SV: WLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-28 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.