RB Leipzigvs
1.FSV Mainz 05RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
RB Leipzig to win62%
1X2: model backs RB Leipzig at 62%.
- RB Leipzig
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- RB Leipzig or draw86%
- Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0538%
- RB Leipzig or 1.FSV Mainz 0576%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- RB Leipzig, last 10 home games2 of 10
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 61.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RB Leipzig won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
RB Leipzig: WWLWL
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-01 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 0–2 |
| 2024-03-30 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–0 |
| 2023-11-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 2–0 |
| 2023-04-01 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–3 |
| 2022-10-08 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2022-01-08 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2021-08-15 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.