1. FC Kolnvs
RB Leipzig1. FC Koln vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig57%
- 1. FC Koln 18%
- Draw 25%
- RB Leipzig 57%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 57.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Koln won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Koln's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. RB Leipzig's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Koln: DWLLD
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | 1. FC Koln vs RB Leipzig | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-20 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Koln | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-15 | 1. FC Koln vs RB Leipzig | 1–5 |
| 2023-10-28 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Koln | 6–0 |
| 2023-02-04 | 1. FC Koln vs RB Leipzig | 0–0 |
| 2022-08-13 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Koln | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-11 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Koln | 3–1 |
| 2021-09-18 | 1. FC Koln vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2021-04-20 | 1. FC Koln vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2020-12-19 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Koln | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Koln vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Koln vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Koln vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.