1. FC Kolnvs
VfL Wolfsburg1. FC Koln 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Fri, 30 Jan 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Koln42%
- 1. FC Koln 42%
- Draw 24%
- VfL Wolfsburg 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks 1. FC Koln, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Koln won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
1. FC Koln: WWWDW
VfL Wolfsburg: WDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | 1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-13 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Koln | 3–3 |
| 2024-01-27 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-26 | 1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–2 |
| 2023-02-25 | 1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–2 |
| 2022-09-03 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Koln | 2–4 |
| 2022-05-07 | 1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–1 |
| 2021-12-14 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Koln | 2–3 |
| 2021-04-03 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Koln | 1–0 |
| 2020-12-05 | 1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Koln (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does 1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Fri, 30 Jan 2026 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.