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1. FC Koln crest1. FC KolnvsSV Werder Bremen crestSV Werder Bremen

1. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Koln41%

1. FC Koln 41%
Draw 30%
SV Werder Bremen 29%
  • 1. FC Koln 41%
  • Draw 30%
  • SV Werder Bremen 29%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Koln, rating it at 41.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and 1. FC Koln won 2 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1. FC Koln: DWLLD

SV Werder Bremen: WWWWL

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 88%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-121. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen3–1
2025-11-29SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2024-02-161. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen0–1
2023-09-23Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln2–1
2023-05-20Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2023-01-211. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen7–1
2021-03-071. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen1–1
2020-11-06Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Koln (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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