1. FC Kolnvs
SV Werder Bremen1. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Koln44%
- 1. FC Koln 44%
- Draw 24%
- SV Werder Bremen 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Koln, rating it at 43.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and 1. FC Koln won 2 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
1. FC Koln: LWWWD
SV Werder Bremen: WLWLD
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 88%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | 1. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen | 3–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-16 | 1. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-23 | Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-20 | Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-21 | 1. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen | 7–1 |
| 2021-03-07 | 1. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
| 2020-11-06 | Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Koln (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Koln vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.