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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim crestTSG 1899 HoffenheimvsFC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern Munich

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Bayern Munich69%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 13%
Draw 17%
FC Bayern Munich 69%
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 13%
  • Draw 17%
  • FC Bayern Munich 69%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 69.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 17.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW

FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.90Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-08FC Bayern Munich vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim5–1
2025-09-20TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich1–4
2025-05-17TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich0–4
2025-01-15FC Bayern Munich vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim5–0
2024-05-18Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich4–2
2024-01-12Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim3–0
2023-04-15Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim1–1
2022-10-22Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich0–2
2022-03-12Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich1–1
2021-10-23Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim4–0

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FAQ

Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
Sat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.

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