TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich69%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 13%
- Draw 17%
- FC Bayern Munich 69%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 69.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | FC Bayern Munich vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 5–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–4 |
| 2025-01-15 | FC Bayern Munich vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 5–0 |
| 2024-05-18 | Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich | 4–2 |
| 2024-01-12 | Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-15 | Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich | 0–2 |
| 2022-03-12 | Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich | 1–1 |
| 2021-10-23 | Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.