TSG 1899 Hoffenheimvs
Borussia DortmundTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund52%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 25%
- Draw 23%
- Borussia Dortmund 52%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 51.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–3 |
| 2024-12-15 | Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim | 2–3 |
| 2023-09-29 | Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–3 |
| 2023-02-25 | Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–1 |
| 2022-09-02 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim | 1–0 |
| 2022-01-22 | Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–3 |
| 2021-08-27 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.