TSG 1899 Hoffenheimvs
FC St. PauliTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 28 Feb 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 FC St. Pauli
Tofiko prediction
Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim57%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 57%
- Draw 24%
- FC St. Pauli 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 57.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC St. Pauli's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW
FC St. Pauli: DLWWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli | 0–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | FC St. Pauli vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0–3 |
| 2025-03-14 | FC St. Pauli vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli?
- Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
- Sat, 28 Feb 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.