TSG 1899 Hoffenheimvs
RB LeipzigTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig45%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 29%
- Draw 25%
- RB Leipzig 45%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks RB Leipzig, rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 5–0 |
| 2025-11-08 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig | 4–3 |
| 2024-05-03 | Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-16 | RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim | 3–1 |
| 2023-04-29 | RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig | 1–3 |
| 2022-04-10 | RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim | 3–0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 8 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.