TSG 1899 Hoffenheimvs
VfL WolfsburgTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 14 Mar 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
Tofiko prediction
Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim53%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 53%
- Draw 22%
- VfL Wolfsburg 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 52.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–3 |
| 2025-05-09 | VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–1 |
| 2024-02-04 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-02 | Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–1 |
| 2023-05-13 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-19 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim | 1–2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sat, 14 Mar 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.