Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen62%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 62%
- Draw 23%
- Eintracht Frankfurt 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 62.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 4 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 5 produced 20, at 4.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Eintracht Frankfurt's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
Eintracht Frankfurt: WWDWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 4.40Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–3 |
| 2025-09-12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–4 |
| 2024-10-19 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-05 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–5 |
| 2023-12-17 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-08 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–1 |
| 2022-10-15 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen | 5–1 |
| 2022-05-02 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–0 |
| 2021-12-12 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen | 5–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.40 goals per game.