FC Bayern Munichvs
1. FC KolnFC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich80%
- FC Bayern Munich 80%
- Draw 14%
- 1. FC Koln 7%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 79.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Koln's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Bayern Munich's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 13.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
1. FC Koln: DWLLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln | 5–1 |
| 2026-01-14 | 1. FC Koln vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–3 |
| 2024-04-13 | Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-24 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich | 0–1 |
| 2023-05-27 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
| 2023-01-24 | Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2022-01-15 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich | 0–4 |
| 2021-08-22 | Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln | 3–2 |
| 2021-02-27 | Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln | 5–1 |
| 2020-10-31 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.