FC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern Munichvs1. FC Koln crest1. FC Koln

FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaFri, 20 Nov 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Bayern Munich to win80%

1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 80%.

Tofiko80% / 14% / 7%
  • FC Bayern Munich
  • Draw
  • 1. FC Koln

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Bayern Munich or draw93%
  • Draw or 1. FC Koln20%
  • FC Bayern Munich or 1. FC Koln86%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.579%
  • Under 2.521%

Both teams to score

  • FC Bayern Munich, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • 1. FC Koln, last 10 away games9 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 79.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. FC Bayern Munich's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. 1. FC Koln's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW

1. FC Koln: WDLDL

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.60Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln5–1
2026-01-141. FC Koln vs FC Bayern Munich1–3
2024-04-13Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln2–0
2023-11-241. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich0–1
2023-05-271. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich1–2
2023-01-24Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2022-01-151. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich0–4
2021-08-22Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln3–2
2021-02-27Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln5–1
2020-10-311. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
Fri, 20 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixture1. FC Köln vs Bayern München20 Mar 2027 →