Borussia Monchengladbachvs
TSG 1899 HoffenheimBorussia Monchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Monchengladbach43%
- Borussia Monchengladbach 43%
- Draw 26%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 32%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Monchengladbach, rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Monchengladbach won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Borussia Monchengladbach's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Borussia Monchengladbach: WWWWW
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 4.80Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4–0 |
| 2026-01-14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 5–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4–4 |
| 2024-12-21 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-20 | Hoffenheim vs Monchengladbach | 4–3 |
| 2023-12-02 | Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-28 | Hoffenheim vs Monchengladbach | 1–4 |
| 2022-08-06 | Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim | 3–1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim | 5–1 |
| 2021-12-18 | Hoffenheim vs Monchengladbach | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Monchengladbach (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.80 goals per game.