FC Bayern Munichvs
1. FC Union BerlinFC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich76%
- FC Bayern Munich 76%
- Draw 16%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 76.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 16.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
1. FC Union Berlin: LLDLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–0 |
| 2025-11-08 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–2 |
| 2025-03-15 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-02 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2024-04-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich | 1–5 |
| 2024-01-24 | Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-26 | Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2022-09-03 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich | 2–5 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.