FC Bayern Munichvs
SV Werder BremenFC Bayern Munich vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich79%
- FC Bayern Munich 79%
- Draw 14%
- SV Werder Bremen 7%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 79.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 13.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SV Werder Bremen's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
SV Werder Bremen: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | SV Werder Bremen vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–3 |
| 2025-09-26 | FC Bayern Munich vs SV Werder Bremen | 4–0 |
| 2025-02-07 | FC Bayern Munich vs SV Werder Bremen | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-21 | SV Werder Bremen vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–5 |
| 2024-01-21 | Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen | 0–1 |
| 2023-08-18 | Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich | 0–4 |
| 2023-05-06 | Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-08 | Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen | 6–1 |
| 2021-03-13 | Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich | 1–3 |
| 2020-11-21 | Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs SV Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.