Borussia Dortmundvs
SC Paderborn 07Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07 — Result, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund75%
- Borussia Dortmund 75%
- Draw 16%
- SC Paderborn 07 9%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 75.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Borussia Dortmund won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 75.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 15.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Dortmund's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW
SC Paderborn 07: LLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.