Borussia Monchengladbachvs
FC St. PauliBorussia Monchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Fri, 13 Mar 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Borussia Monchengladbach 2–0 FC St. Pauli
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Monchengladbach54%
- Borussia Monchengladbach 54%
- Draw 24%
- FC St. Pauli 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Monchengladbach, rating it at 54.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Borussia Monchengladbach won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Borussia Monchengladbach: WWWWW
FC St. Pauli: DLWWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 0–4 |
| 2025-04-06 | FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Monchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Monchengladbach (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Monchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
- Fri, 13 Mar 2026 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the Borussia Monchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.