Holstein Kiel crestHolstein KielvsBorussia Monchengladbach crestBorussia Monchengladbach

Holstein Kiel 4-3 Borussia Monchengladbach — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 26 Apr 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Borussia Monchengladbach44%

  • Holstein Kiel 36%
  • Draw 21%
  • Borussia Monchengladbach 44%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Borussia Monchengladbach, rating it at 43.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Holstein Kiel won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Holstein Kiel: LWDDL

Borussia Monchengladbach: LWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 6.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-26Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Monchengladbach4–3
2024-12-14Borussia Monchengladbach vs Holstein Kiel4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Monchengladbach (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Monchengladbach kick off?
Sat, 26 Apr 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.

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