Holstein Kiel 4-3 Borussia Monchengladbach — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 26 Apr 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Monchengladbach44%
- Holstein Kiel 36%
- Draw 21%
- Borussia Monchengladbach 44%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Borussia Monchengladbach, rating it at 43.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Holstein Kiel won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Holstein Kiel: LWDDL
Borussia Monchengladbach: LWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 6.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 4–3 |
| 2024-12-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs Holstein Kiel | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Monchengladbach (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Monchengladbach kick off?
- Sat, 26 Apr 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.