FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 15 Feb 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Augsburg 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Augsburg52%
- FC Augsburg 52%
- Draw 24%
- 1. FC Heidenheim 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Augsburg, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and FC Augsburg won 2 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Augsburg: LDLWW
1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.17Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Augsburg | 2–1 |
| 2025-01-25 | FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 2–1 |
| 2024-09-01 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC Augsburg | 4–0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Augsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Augsburg | 2–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim kick off?
- Sun, 15 Feb 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.