FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Result, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen52%
- FC Augsburg 27%
- Draw 22%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 52%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Augsburg won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
FC Augsburg: DWWWL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: DWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-14 | FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0–2 |
| 2024-05-18 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg | 2–1 |
| 2024-01-13 | Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–1 |
| 2023-02-03 | Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg | 1–2 |
| 2022-01-22 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg | 5–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (52% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.