FC Augsburg crestFC AugsburgvsBayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 Leverkusen

FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Result, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen52%

  • FC Augsburg 27%
  • Draw 22%
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen 52%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Augsburg won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

FC Augsburg: DWWWL

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: DWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen2–2
2026-04-18Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg1–2
2025-12-06FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen2–0
2025-04-26Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg2–0
2024-12-14FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–2
2024-05-18Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg2–1
2024-01-13Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen0–1
2023-02-03Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen1–0
2022-08-13Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg1–2
2022-01-22Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg5–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (52% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureBayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg6 Feb 2027 →