FC Augsburgvs
Bayer 04 LeverkusenFC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen56%
- FC Augsburg 20%
- Draw 24%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 56%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 55.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Augsburg won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. FC Augsburg's last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 5 produced 21, at 4.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Augsburg: WWLDL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-14 | FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0–2 |
| 2024-05-18 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg | 2–1 |
| 2024-01-13 | Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–1 |
| 2023-02-03 | Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg | 1–2 |
| 2022-01-22 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg | 5–1 |
| 2021-08-28 | Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.