FC Augsburgvs
FC Bayern MunichFC Augsburg vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich73%
- FC Augsburg 10%
- Draw 16%
- FC Bayern Munich 73%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 73.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Augsburg won 1 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 16.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Augsburg: LDLWW
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | FC Bayern Munich vs FC Augsburg | 1–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
| 2025-04-04 | FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–3 |
| 2024-11-22 | FC Bayern Munich vs FC Augsburg | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-27 | Augsburg vs Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
| 2023-08-27 | Bayern Munich vs Augsburg | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Bayern Munich vs Augsburg | 5–3 |
| 2022-09-17 | Augsburg vs Bayern Munich | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-09 | Bayern Munich vs Augsburg | 1–0 |
| 2021-11-19 | Augsburg vs Bayern Munich | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.