FC Augsburgvs
Holstein KielFC Augsburg 1-3 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sun, 04 May 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Augsburg52%
- FC Augsburg 52%
- Draw 22%
- Holstein Kiel 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Augsburg, rating it at 52.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Augsburg won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Augsburg's last 5 produced 29 goals — 5.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
FC Augsburg: WWLWW
Holstein Kiel: LWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel | 1–3 |
| 2024-12-21 | Holstein Kiel vs FC Augsburg | 5–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
- Sun, 04 May 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.