FC Augsburg crestFC AugsburgvsHolstein Kiel crestHolstein Kiel

FC Augsburg 1-3 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sun, 04 May 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Augsburg52%

Tofiko52% / 22% / 26%
Market56% / 24% / 20%
  • FC Augsburg
  • Draw
  • Holstein Kiel

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Augsburg, rating it at 52.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Augsburg won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. FC Augsburg's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026.

FC Augsburg: DDLDW

Holstein Kiel: LWDLD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-04FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel1–3
2024-12-21Holstein Kiel vs FC Augsburg5–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel?
Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
Sun, 04 May 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legHolstein Kiel 5-1 FC Augsburg21 Dec 2024 →