FC Schalke 04vs
FC Bayern MunichFC Schalke 04 vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich81%
- FC Schalke 04 7%
- Draw 12%
- FC Bayern Munich 81%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 80.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Schalke 04 won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 80.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 12.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Schalke 04: WWWWL
FC Bayern Munich: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-13 | Bayern Munich vs Schalke 04 | 6–0 |
| 2022-11-12 | Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich | 0–2 |
| 2021-01-24 | Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich | 0–4 |
| 2020-09-18 | Bayern Munich vs Schalke 04 | 8–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (81% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Schalke 04 vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Schalke 04 vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.