FC St. Paulivs
1. FC KolnFC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Koln Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Fri, 17 Apr 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Koln
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC St. Pauli41%
- FC St. Pauli 41%
- Draw 28%
- 1. FC Koln 31%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC St. Pauli, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC St. Pauli won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC St. Pauli: DLWWW
1. FC Koln: DWLLD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | 1. FC Koln vs FC St. Pauli | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Koln?
- Tofiko's model favours FC St. Pauli (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
- Fri, 17 Apr 2026 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.