FC St. Paulivs
FC Bayern MunichFC St. Pauli 0-5 FC Bayern Munich — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich71%
Tofiko10% / 18% / 71%
Market13% / 18% / 69%
- FC St. Pauli
- Draw
- FC Bayern Munich
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 71.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. FC Bayern Munich's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
FC St. Pauli: WDDWD
FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | FC St. Pauli vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–5 |
| 2025-11-29 | FC Bayern Munich vs FC St. Pauli | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | FC Bayern Munich vs FC St. Pauli | 3–2 |
| 2024-11-09 | FC St. Pauli vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.