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FC St. Pauli crestFC St. PaulivsEintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt

FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 08 Mar 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: FC St. Pauli 00 Eintracht Frankfurt

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Eintracht Frankfurt46%

FC St. Pauli 29%
Draw 26%
Eintracht Frankfurt 46%
  • FC St. Pauli 29%
  • Draw 26%
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 46%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Eintracht Frankfurt, rating it at 45.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Eintracht Frankfurt's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC St. Pauli: DLWWW

Eintracht Frankfurt: WWDWD

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-08FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt0–0
2025-10-25Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC St. Pauli2–0
2025-05-11Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC St. Pauli2–2
2025-01-11FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Tofiko's model favours Eintracht Frankfurt (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt kick off?
Sun, 08 Mar 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the FC St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

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