FC St. Pauli 0-0 Hamburger SV — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Fri, 23 Jan 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC St. Pauli36%
- FC St. Pauli
- Draw
- Hamburger SV
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC St. Pauli, rating it at 36.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC St. Pauli won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Hamburger SV's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
FC St. Pauli: WDDWD
Hamburger SV: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV?
- Tofiko's model favours FC St. Pauli (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV kick off?
- Fri, 23 Jan 2026 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.