FC St. Pauli crestFC St. PaulivsHamburger SV crestHamburger SV

FC St. Pauli 0-0 Hamburger SV — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Fri, 23 Jan 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC St. Pauli36%

  • FC St. Pauli 36%
  • Draw 29%
  • Hamburger SV 35%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC St. Pauli, rating it at 36.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC St. Pauli won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 36.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

FC St. Pauli: LLDDD

Hamburger SV: LWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-23FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV0–0
2025-08-29Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV?
Tofiko's model favours FC St. Pauli (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV kick off?
Fri, 23 Jan 2026 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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