FC St. Paulivs
SC FreiburgFC St. Pauli 1-2 SC Freiburg — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 22 Mar 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Freiburg41%
Tofiko31% / 27% / 41%
Market36% / 30% / 35%
- FC St. Pauli
- Draw
- SC Freiburg
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 41.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. SC Freiburg's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
FC St. Pauli: WDDWD
SC Freiburg: WWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-09 | SC Freiburg vs FC St. Pauli | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-15 | FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-28 | SC Freiburg vs FC St. Pauli | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg kick off?
- Sun, 22 Mar 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.