FC St. Paulivs
VfB StuttgartFC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 07 Feb 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC St. Pauli 2–1 VfB Stuttgart
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfB Stuttgart48%
- FC St. Pauli 26%
- Draw 26%
- VfB Stuttgart 48%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 48.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC St. Pauli: DLWWW
VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-03 | FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-21 | VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
- Sat, 07 Feb 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.