FC St. Pauli crestFC St. PaulivsVfL Bochum crestVfL Bochum

FC St. Pauli 0-2 VfL Bochum — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 17 May 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC St. Pauli47%

  • FC St. Pauli 47%
  • Draw 27%
  • VfL Bochum 26%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC St. Pauli, rating it at 46.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC St. Pauli won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. FC St. Pauli's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

FC St. Pauli: LLDDD

VfL Bochum: LWWLD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-17FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum0–2
2025-01-15VfL Bochum vs FC St. Pauli1–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum?
Tofiko's model favours FC St. Pauli (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum kick off?
Sat, 17 May 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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