FC St. Pauli crestFC St. PaulivsSV Werder Bremen crestSV Werder Bremen

FC St. Pauli 2-1 SV Werder Bremen — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC St. Pauli37%

Tofiko37% / 27% / 35%
Market37% / 30% / 34%
  • FC St. Pauli
  • Draw
  • SV Werder Bremen

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC St. Pauli, rating it at 37.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

FC St. Pauli: DWDLL

SV Werder Bremen: WDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-22FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen2–1
2025-10-04SV Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli1–0
2025-04-27SV Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli0–0
2024-12-14FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen0–2

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FAQ

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen?
Tofiko's model favours FC St. Pauli (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legWerder Bremen 1-0 FC St. Pauli4 Oct 2025 →