FC St. Paulivs
SV Werder BremenFC St. Pauli 2-1 SV Werder Bremen — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC St. Pauli37%
- FC St. Pauli
- Draw
- SV Werder Bremen
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC St. Pauli, rating it at 37.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. SV Werder Bremen's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- SV Werder Bremen's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
FC St. Pauli: WDDWD
SV Werder Bremen: DLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | SV Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-27 | SV Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-14 | FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours FC St. Pauli (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
- Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.