FC St. Paulivs
SV Werder BremenFC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC St. Pauli 2–1 SV Werder Bremen
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC St. Pauli37%
- FC St. Pauli 37%
- Draw 27%
- SV Werder Bremen 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC St. Pauli, rating it at 37.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC St. Pauli's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC St. Pauli: DLWWW
SV Werder Bremen: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | SV Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-27 | SV Werder Bremen vs FC St. Pauli | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-14 | FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours FC St. Pauli (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
- Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.