1.FSV Mainz 05vs
RB Leipzig1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 10 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
RB Leipzig or draw73%
1X2: model backs RB Leipzig at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- RB Leipzig
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw55%
- Draw or RB Leipzig73%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 home games6 of 10
- RB Leipzig, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 45.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
RB Leipzig: WWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-01 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 0–2 |
| 2024-03-30 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–0 |
| 2023-11-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 2–0 |
| 2023-04-01 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–3 |
| 2022-10-08 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2022-01-08 | RB Leipzig vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2021-08-15 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 10 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.