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Hamburger SV crestHamburger SVvs1. FC Koln crest1. FC Koln

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hamburger SV47%

Hamburger SV 47%
Draw 31%
1. FC Koln 22%
  • Hamburger SV 47%
  • Draw 31%
  • 1. FC Koln 22%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Hamburger SV, rating it at 47.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Hamburger SV: LWLDW

1. FC Koln: DWLLD

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2025-11-021. FC Koln vs Hamburger SV4–1

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FAQ

Who will win Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln?
Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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