Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hamburger SV47%
- Hamburger SV 47%
- Draw 31%
- 1. FC Koln 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Hamburger SV, rating it at 47.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Hamburger SV: LWLDW
1. FC Koln: DWLLD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | 1. FC Koln vs Hamburger SV | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln?
- Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.