Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Hamburger SV or draw75%
1X2: model backs Hamburger SV at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Hamburger SV
- Draw
- FC Augsburg
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Hamburger SV or draw75%
- Draw or FC Augsburg57%
- Hamburger SV or FC Augsburg69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.546%
- Under 2.554%
Both teams to score
- Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
- FC Augsburg, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Hamburger SV, rating it at 43.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Hamburger SV: WWWLL
FC Augsburg: DDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.