Hamburger SV crestHamburger SVvsFC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg

Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Hamburger SV or draw75%

1X2: model backs Hamburger SV at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko43% / 31% / 25%
  • Hamburger SV
  • Draw
  • FC Augsburg

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Hamburger SV or draw75%
  • Draw or FC Augsburg57%
  • Hamburger SV or FC Augsburg69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.546%
  • Under 2.554%

Both teams to score

  • Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • FC Augsburg, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Hamburger SV, rating it at 43.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Hamburger SV: WWWLL

FC Augsburg: DDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-04Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg1–1
2025-11-22FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg?
Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg kick off?
Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV22 May 2027 →