Hamburger SV crestHamburger SVvsSC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 15 May 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hamburger SV35%

Tofiko35% / 31% / 34%
  • Hamburger SV
  • Draw
  • SC Freiburg

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Hamburger SV or draw66%
  • Draw or SC Freiburg65%
  • Hamburger SV or SC Freiburg69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.549%
  • Under 2.551%

Both teams to score

  • Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • SC Freiburg, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Hamburger SV, rating it at 34.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 213 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Hamburger SV: WWWLL

SC Freiburg: WWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 213 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-10Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg3–2
2026-01-10SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg?
Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg kick off?
Sat, 15 May 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV12 Jan 2027 →