Hamburger SV crestHamburger SVvsSC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaWed, 03 Mar 2027 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hamburger SV44%

Tofiko44% / 30% / 26%
  • Hamburger SV
  • Draw
  • SC Paderborn 07

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Hamburger SV or draw74%
  • Draw or SC Paderborn 0756%
  • Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 0770%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.546%
  • Under 2.554%

Both teams to score

  • Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • SC Paderborn 07, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Hamburger SV, rating it at 44.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

They arrive from very different football. Hamburger SV's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. SC Paderborn 07's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 141 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Hamburger SV: WWWLL

SC Paderborn 07: LWWLL

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07?
Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?
Wed, 03 Mar 2027 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV24 Oct 2026 →