Hamburger SV crestHamburger SVvs1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union Berlin

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 10 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hamburger SV39%

Tofiko39% / 33% / 28%
  • Hamburger SV
  • Draw
  • 1. FC Union Berlin

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Hamburger SV or draw72%
  • Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin61%
  • Hamburger SV or 1. FC Union Berlin67%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.542%
  • Under 2.558%

Both teams to score

  • Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • 1. FC Union Berlin, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Hamburger SV, rating it at 39.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Hamburger SV: WWWLL

1. FC Union Berlin: WWLLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-14Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin3–2
2025-09-281. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
Sat, 10 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureUnion Berlin vs Hamburger SV5 Dec 2026 →