Holstein Kiel crestHolstein KielvsBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

Holstein Kiel 4-2 Borussia Dortmund — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Tue, 14 Jan 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Borussia Dortmund66%

Tofiko17% / 17% / 66%
Market15% / 19% / 67%
  • Holstein Kiel
  • Draw
  • Borussia Dortmund

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 65.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Holstein Kiel won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Borussia Dortmund's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Holstein Kiel: DLDLW

Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-17Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel3–0
2025-01-14Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund4–2

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FAQ

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Tue, 14 Jan 2025 17:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBorussia Dortmund 3-0 Holstein Kiel17 May 2025 →