Borussia Dortmundvs
Holstein KielBorussia Dortmund 3-0 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 17 May 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund78%
- Borussia Dortmund 78%
- Draw 14%
- Holstein Kiel 8%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 78.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 78.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 14.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Dortmund's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Borussia Dortmund: WWLDD
Holstein Kiel: LWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-17 | Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-14 | Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund | 4–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
- Sat, 17 May 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.