Holstein Kielvs
SV Werder BremenHolstein Kiel 0-3 SV Werder Bremen — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 29 Mar 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Holstein Kiel40%
- Holstein Kiel 40%
- Draw 22%
- SV Werder Bremen 39%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Holstein Kiel, rating it at 39.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Holstein Kiel won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Holstein Kiel: LWDDL
SV Werder Bremen: LWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder Bremen | 0–3 |
| 2024-11-09 | SV Werder Bremen vs Holstein Kiel | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours Holstein Kiel (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
- Sat, 29 Mar 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the Holstein Kiel vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.