RB Leipzig 1-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 19 Apr 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig75%
- RB Leipzig 75%
- Draw 15%
- Holstein Kiel 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 74.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and RB Leipzig won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 74.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 15.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Holstein Kiel: LWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-19 | RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
- Sat, 19 Apr 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.